Flight International 2022 05.pdf

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FlightGlobal.com
May 2022
Gulfstream
G800
cutaway
INSIDE
MC-21 delayed as
sanctions hit
p8
Draken scores UK
aggressor deal
p32
Long-range
forecast
Business jet makers head for EBACE and soaring demand
p46
Gripen grin
Why Swedish
fighter has a
bright future
p64
Glad Etihad
We board
carrier’s first
A350 service
p28
9
£5.25
770015 371334
0 5
Comment
There’s nothing to fear
in the Twilight Zone
Warner Bros/Kobal/Shutterstock
Safety first?
Russia rejects charges that civil regulator Rosaviatsia will be
unable to cope with the addition of hundreds of new aircraft
to its purview, but questions regarding its capabilities remain
P
ropaganda is an inevitable
element of conflict but, to
the chagrin of politicians,
truth has an uncomforta-
ble habit of asserting its authority
sooner or later.
Russian air transport safety is
better, in some ways, than the
image often presented but, at the
same time, has still struggled to be
as good as it might.
ICAO found, in a 2015 audit of
safety oversight capabilities, that
Russia’s effective implementation
for airworthiness was around the
global average. And the Interstate
Aviation Committee, the country’s
accident investigation agency, has
earned an excellent reputation for
thoroughness and establishing facts
– even if those facts make difficult
reading for those tasked with man-
aging Russian air safety.
But serious regulatory discord
has emerged in recent years. Cer-
tification oversight was removed
from the Interstate Aviation Com-
mittee during an extraordinary row
with federal air transport authority
Rosaviatsia, and friction between
the two sides was aggravated fur-
ther – with accusations of a conflict
between objective professionalism
and narrow departmental interests
– by government proposals to set
up a new multinational investiga-
tion agency with CIS nations.
None of this internal wrangling
evokes the sense of stability on
which confidence in air safety rests,
but Rosaviatsia has demonstrated
willingness to take action against
rule-breakers and Russian carriers
have, on the whole, avoided the
disgrace of European blacklisting.
That is not to say the regulatory
clockwork was a model of efficien-
cy. The European Union Aviation
Safety Agency had expressed un-
ease, before the pandemic, over a
high rejection rate for third-country
approval of Russian carriers, even
as it maintained faith in Rosaviat-
sia’s capabilities.
But the sanctions regime inten-
sifies the pressure on Russia’s reg-
ulatory authorities, introducing a
political incentive to Rosaviatsia to
resist external coercion and show
that it can keep its air transport
system functioning safely despite
the substantial complication of tak-
ing on responsibility for hundreds
of extra aircraft effectively looted
by the government, while being de-
prived of essential access to spares
and support.
Boasting of possessing such capa-
bility, in the interests of keeping up
morale, is a world away from exhib-
iting it. Individuals, including in Rus-
sia, who respect the civil aviation in-
dustry and who understand that air
safety is founded on level-headed
rationality and procedural compli-
ance are likely to feel considerable
nervousness over the government’s
impulsiveness to prove a point.
Rosaviatsia has opted to inter-
pret the European blacklisting of
several Russian carriers not as a
legitimate safety concern, but as
a challenge to its competence, a
position which smacks of behind-
the-scenes influence aimed at little
more than face-saving.
This leaves Russia’s airlines with
the unenviable task of operating
in a regulatory twilight zone, with
considerable uncertainty over the
risks of doing so. It amounts to a
test of integrity, and for the sake of
passenger safety, those in charge
will need to be able to separate
reality from the hype.
See p10
May 2022
Flight International
3
In focus
Boeing up?
6
Sanctions drive Russian
production upheaval
8
Russian regulator faces
safety backlash
10
UAE finalises Rafale buy
12
FAA warns on service return
for stored engines
14
Cape Air plans 75-strong
Alice band
16
Can CR929 survive crisis?
22
Ottawa sticks with F-35
24
Etihad’s long road to A350
operations
28
UK picks Draken for ‘red air’
duties
32
Avolon sees Vertical take off
37
Crash spurs call for action
38
64
Key of E
Saab’s modern masterpiece
FlightGlobal.com
May 2022
Gulfstream
G800
cutaway
INSIDE
MC-21 delayed as
sanctions hit
p8
Draken scores UK
aggressor deal
p32
72
Long-range
forecast
Business jet makers head for EBACE and soaring demand
p46
Gripen grin
Why Swedish
fighter has a
bright future
p64
Glad Etihad
We board
carrier’s first
A350 service
p28
9
£5.25
770015 371334
Gulfstream
Regulars
Comment
3
Best of the rest
42
Straight & Level
76
Letters
78
Jobs
81
Women in aviation
82
4
Flight International
May 2022
0 5
Contents
In depth
Golden years
46
As the EBACE business
aviation show returns for the
first time since 2019, many
believe prospects for the sector
are stronger than at any time
since before the financial crisis
Coming down the line
50
Business aircraft manufacturers
have continued to invest and
innovate during the pandemic
Magic eight
58
Gulfstream’s G800 will provide
an exceptional experience
Gripen grin
64
An exclusive look at the
programme for Saab’s flagship
E/F-model fighter
Dawn of the jet age
72
The de Havilland Comet made
passenger debut 70 years ago
12
8
46
May 2022
Flight International
5
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